Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (84% H2H, 37 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Tavares 54.4% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 64-38 in 102 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 73.0%
Defensive zone
Henrique 85.1%
Neutral zone
Henrique 70.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Henrique
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
38
-
64
(102 meetings)
38
64
Henrique
Tavares
Last 10: Henrique 6-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
6
31
Henrique
Tavares
37 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
19
15
Henrique
Tavares
34 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
13
18
Henrique
Tavares
31 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (9,546)
54.0% (16,169)
-3.3%
Power Play
54.5% (1,763)
56.4% (4,298)
-1.9%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,832)
50.5% (624)
-4.3%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,525).
Henrique shoots left. Tavares is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (13,550).
Home / Away
Henrique
Tavares
Home
52.5% (6,430)
56.1% (10,525)
Away
48.8% (6,734)
52.7% (10,595)
By Period
Henrique
Tavares
P1
50.6%
55.0%
P2
51.4%
54.1%
P3
50.3%
54.0%
OT
40.6%
55.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
54.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
50.6%
Tavares
48.0%▼
54.0%
54.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2025 | 2 | 09:52 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 1, 2025 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 15:22 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:19 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 23, 2024 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 2 | 11:41 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 1 | 03:45 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 3, 2024 | 1 | 03:28 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 03:47 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:23 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 12:40 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 06:07 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 03:34 | Defensive | John Tavares |