Scouting Report
Lars Eller holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Eller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Eller 55.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eller 67.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 53.1%
Neutral zone
Eller 56.6%
Result
Lars Eller favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Henrique
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Henrique
Eller
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Eller
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Eller
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
56.0% (459)
-0.6%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
77.8% (9)
-27.8%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
51.9% (54)
-1.2%
On power play, Eller has a +27.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. Eller is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Henrique
Eller
Home
52.4% (227)
52.6% (215)
Away
55.2% (324)
58.3% (307)
By Period
Henrique
Eller
P1
57.0%
54.1%
P2
52.5%
57.6%
P3
52.4%
56.2%
Final 5 min
47.8%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
55.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 04:30 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |