Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.5%). Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (76% H2H, 21 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Eller 50.5% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Eller leads 43-41 in 84 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 62.1%
Defensive zone
Eller 57.7%
Neutral zone
Eller 50.4%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 50.3%
50.3%
49.7%
Henrique
Eller
Head-to-Head Record
41
-
43
(84 meetings)
41
43
Henrique
Eller
Last 10: Henrique 7-3 Eller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
16
5
Henrique
Eller
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eller
12
16
Henrique
Eller
28 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eller
13
22
Henrique
Eller
35 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Eller
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (9,546)
51.1% (10,321)
-0.4%
Power Play
54.5% (1,763)
52.8% (621)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,832)
46.6% (1,759)
-0.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eller shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,525).
Henrique shoots left. Eller is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (8,142).
Home / Away
Henrique
Eller
Home
52.5% (6,430)
51.4% (6,122)
Away
48.8% (6,734)
49.7% (6,607)
By Period
Henrique
Eller
P1
50.6%
51.2%
P2
51.4%
50.1%
P3
50.3%
50.2%
OT
40.6%
56.7%
Final 5 min
50.3%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
50.6%
Eller
44.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 11:53 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 04:30 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 21, 2025 | 2 | 00:49 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 14:27 | Offensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 10:38 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 06:35 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 08:53 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 2 | 02:23 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 1 | 01:42 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 3 | 01:21 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 10, 2024 | 1 | 14:45 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 7, 2023 | 2 | 02:58 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 06:48 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 3 | 03:01 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 03:26 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Oct 30, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Lars Eller |
| Apr 9, 2023 | 3 | 02:49 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 09:39 | Defensive | Lars Eller |
| Dec 6, 2019 | 3 | 03:20 | Neutral | Lars Eller |