Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +13.8% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Barzal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Barzal 41.9% (+13.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 58.5%
Defensive zone
Henrique 93.6%
Neutral zone
Henrique 87.3%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 81.9%
81.9%
18.1%
Henrique
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Henrique
Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Barzal
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
2
0
Henrique
Barzal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
40.9% (469)
+14.5%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
34.2% (38)
+15.8%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
28.6% (7)
+22.1%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +22.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Henrique shoots left. Barzal is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (398).
Home / Away
Henrique
Barzal
Home
52.4% (227)
39.2% (250)
Away
55.2% (324)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Henrique
Barzal
P1
57.0%
46.3%
P2
52.5%
36.7%
P3
52.4%
38.5%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
41.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Barzal
44.0%▬
45.0%
40.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |