Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Barzal 42.2% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 12-5 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 82.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 96.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 95.7%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 90.4%
90.4%
9.6%
Henrique
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
5
(17 meetings)
12
5
Henrique
Barzal
Last 10: Henrique 7-3 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
2
Henrique
Barzal
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
0
Henrique
Barzal
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barzal
2
3
Henrique
Barzal
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (9,465)
41.9% (3,558)
+8.8%
Power Play
54.5% (1,760)
43.4% (205)
+11.1%
Penalty Kill
46.3% (1,794)
42.3% (26)
+4.0%
On power play, Henrique has a +11.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,611).
Henrique shoots left. Barzal is 41.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,695).
Home / Away
Henrique
Barzal
Home
52.5% (6,376)
43.1% (1,893)
Away
48.8% (6,666)
40.9% (1,896)
By Period
Henrique
Barzal
P1
50.6%
40.6%
P2
51.4%
44.4%
P3
50.2%
41.0%
OT
40.6%
27.6%
Final 5 min
50.4%
39.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
50.6%
Barzal
40.0%▼
44.5%
42.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 19:09 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 10:36 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 15, 2022 | 1 | 04:57 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 3 | 09:26 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 10:43 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 13, 2022 | 1 | 07:55 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 2 | 14:15 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Dec 21, 2019 | 1 | 16:27 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 3 | 05:00 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 01:23 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 25, 2019 | 1 | 01:18 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Jan 20, 2019 | 1 | 09:56 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 21, 2017 | OT | 02:34 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 3 | 04:33 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 12:12 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 21, 2017 | 2 | 00:27 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |