Adam Henrique vs Michael McCarron
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs McCarron 52.1% (+1.8%)
Offensive zone
Henrique 61.3%
Defensive zone
McCarron 65.7%
Neutral zone
McCarron 50.9%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Henrique
McCarron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
52.8% (697)
+2.6%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
18.2% (11)
+31.8%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
52.6% (211)
-1.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +31.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Henrique shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Henrique
McCarron
Home
52.4% (227)
52.8% (477)
Away
55.2% (324)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Henrique
McCarron
P1
57.0%
56.2%
P2
52.5%
52.4%
P3
52.4%
48.7%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%