Adam Henrique vs Michael McCarron
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Michael McCarron holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs McCarron 52.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 74.3%
Defensive zone
McCarron 74.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 50.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Henrique
McCarron
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Henrique
McCarron
Last 10: Henrique 7-3 McCarron
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
2
Henrique
McCarron
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCarron
0
2
Henrique
McCarron
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
4
1
Henrique
McCarron
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (9,546)
53.3% (2,926)
-2.6%
Power Play
54.5% (1,763)
45.3% (86)
+9.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,832)
50.1% (469)
-3.9%
On power play, Henrique has a +9.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,639).
Henrique shoots left. McCarron is 52.5% vs left-shot opponents (2,425).
Home / Away
Henrique
McCarron
Home
52.5% (6,430)
52.3% (1,696)
Away
48.8% (6,734)
53.1% (1,785)
By Period
Henrique
McCarron
P1
50.6%
53.8%
P2
51.4%
52.3%
P3
50.3%
51.9%
OT
40.6%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
50.6%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2024 | 2 | 01:02 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 15:47 | Neutral | Michael McCarron |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:09 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 14, 2024 | 1 | 03:04 | Defensive | Michael McCarron |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 00:37 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 17, 2024 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:20 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 03:39 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 11:53 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 09:45 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 14, 2023 | 3 | 03:50 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |
| Mar 10, 2022 | 3 | 07:49 | Offensive | Michael McCarron |