Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Granlund 48.9% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 78.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 56.0%
Neutral zone
Granlund 55.9%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 78.6%
21.4%
78.6%
Henrique
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Henrique
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
3
Henrique
Granlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
48.9% (476)
+6.5%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
57.9% (107)
-7.9%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
31.1% (61)
+19.6%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. Granlund is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (426).
Home / Away
Henrique
Granlund
Home
52.4% (227)
53.3% (255)
Away
55.2% (324)
45.8% (389)
By Period
Henrique
Granlund
P1
57.0%
52.0%
P2
52.5%
48.6%
P3
52.4%
45.9%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Granlund
58.0%▲
52.0%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 11:49 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |