Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Granlund on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Granlund 49.5% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Granlund 76.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 59.3%
Neutral zone
Granlund 53.3%
Result
Mikael Granlund favored at 76.4%
23.6%
76.4%
Henrique
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Henrique
Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
3
Henrique
Granlund
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
49.7% (493)
+5.7%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
58.6% (111)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
31.1% (61)
+19.6%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +19.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. Granlund is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (445).
Home / Away
Henrique
Granlund
Home
52.4% (227)
54.7% (276)
Away
55.2% (324)
45.8% (389)
By Period
Henrique
Granlund
P1
57.0%
52.2%
P2
52.5%
49.3%
P3
52.4%
47.4%
OT
100.0%
45.5%
Final 5 min
47.8%
53.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Granlund
62.0%▲
54.5%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 14:55 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 13:34 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 2 | 03:54 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 28, 2026 | 1 | 11:49 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |