Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +6.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Granlund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Granlund 49.6% (+6.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 61.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 83.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 85.6%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 74.1%
74.1%
25.9%
Henrique
Granlund
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Henrique
Granlund
Last 7: Henrique 5-2 Granlund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Granlund
1
2
Henrique
Granlund
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
3
0
Henrique
Granlund
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Granlund
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Granlund
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
49.5% (588)
+8.0%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
60.5% (43)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
45.2% (93)
+0.3%
On power play, Henrique has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Granlund shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Granlund is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (482).
Home / Away
Henrique
Granlund
Home
56.4% (518)
54.8% (305)
Away
54.9% (492)
45.8% (419)
By Period
Henrique
Granlund
P1
56.0%
43.8%
P2
55.2%
51.2%
P3
56.2%
53.9%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
51.8%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
55.6%
Granlund
56.0%▲
43.0%
49.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2025 | 2 | 13:07 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 2 | 13:02 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 26, 2025 | 2 | 00:21 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:16 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 8, 2025 | 3 | 07:10 | Offensive | Mikael Granlund |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 15:03 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 1 | 08:21 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |