Adam Henrique vs Nathan MacKinnon

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Adam Henrique holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 48 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Henrique 50.6% vs MacKinnon 46.8% (+3.8%)
H2H factor Henrique leads 68-60 in 128 meetings
Offensive zone Henrique 52.8%
Defensive zone Henrique 68.8%
Neutral zone Henrique 66.3%
Result Adam Henrique favored at 63.0%
63.0%
37.0%
Henrique MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
68 - 60 (128 meetings)
68
60
Henrique MacKinnon
Last 10: Henrique 3-7 MacKinnon

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
12
28
Henrique MacKinnon
40 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
33
15
Henrique MacKinnon
48 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
23
17
Henrique MacKinnon
40 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Henrique
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (9,546)
46.1% (11,264)
+4.6%
Power Play
54.5% (1,763)
53.2% (1,421)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,832)
42.8% (502)
+3.4%
On even strength, Henrique has a +4.6% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,639).
Henrique shoots left. MacKinnon is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (9,537).
Home / Away
Henrique
MacKinnon
Home
52.5% (6,430)
49.7% (6,471)
Away
48.8% (6,734)
43.9% (6,717)
By Period
Henrique
MacKinnon
P1
50.6%
47.4%
P2
51.4%
46.6%
P3
50.3%
46.1%
OT
40.6%
48.4%
Final 5 min
50.3%
49.1%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%
52.0%
50.6%
MacKinnon
44.0%
50.5%
46.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Nov 8, 2025 2 11:45 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 8, 2025 1 16:45 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Nov 8, 2025 1 09:09 Defensive Adam Henrique
Nov 8, 2025 1 06:43 Defensive Adam Henrique
Feb 7, 2025 3 06:04 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 7, 2025 3 05:52 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 7, 2025 3 05:21 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 7, 2025 3 02:51 Offensive Adam Henrique
Feb 7, 2025 2 18:48 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 7, 2025 2 12:59 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Feb 7, 2025 2 12:53 Defensive Adam Henrique
Feb 7, 2025 2 10:28 Defensive Adam Henrique
Feb 7, 2025 2 00:31 Defensive Adam Henrique
Feb 7, 2025 2 00:17 Defensive Adam Henrique
Feb 7, 2025 1 09:18 Defensive Adam Henrique
Jan 16, 2025 1 14:01 Offensive Adam Henrique
Jan 16, 2025 1 13:58 Defensive Nathan MacKinnon
Jan 16, 2025 1 06:29 Offensive Nathan MacKinnon
Apr 18, 2024 3 03:00 Offensive Adam Henrique
Apr 18, 2024 1 00:00 Neutral Adam Henrique