Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 53.9% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Dowd 48.6% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Henrique 50.6%
Defensive zone
Dowd 80.8%
Neutral zone
Dowd 59.2%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 66.4%
33.6%
66.4%
Henrique
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Henrique
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
Henrique
Dowd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Dowd
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
51.0% (671)
+4.4%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
0.0% (2)
+50.0%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
41.5% (224)
+9.2%
On power play, Henrique has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Henrique is 53.9% vs right-shot opponents (180).
Henrique shoots left. Dowd is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (571).
Home / Away
Henrique
Dowd
Home
52.4% (227)
48.2% (471)
Away
55.2% (324)
48.8% (426)
By Period
Henrique
Dowd
P1
57.0%
48.3%
P2
52.5%
46.8%
P3
52.4%
51.0%
OT
100.0%
30.0%
Final 5 min
47.8%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:51 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 07:09 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |