Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.6% vs 50.7%). Look for Henrique on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Dowd 50.7% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Henrique 81.3%
Defensive zone
Henrique 53.9%
Neutral zone
Henrique 56.8%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 65.2%
65.2%
34.8%
Henrique
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Henrique
Dowd
Last 10: Henrique 5-5 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
6
1
Henrique
Dowd
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
Henrique
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
6
2
Henrique
Dowd
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (9,546)
52.3% (6,036)
-1.6%
Power Play
54.5% (1,763)
56.1% (164)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,832)
44.1% (1,638)
+2.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. Henrique is 49.7% vs right-shot opponents (4,639).
Henrique shoots left. Dowd is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,158).
Home / Away
Henrique
Dowd
Home
52.5% (6,430)
51.9% (3,917)
Away
48.8% (6,734)
49.5% (3,922)
By Period
Henrique
Dowd
P1
50.6%
51.5%
P2
51.4%
50.4%
P3
50.3%
50.3%
OT
40.6%
45.9%
Final 5 min
50.3%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
50.6%
Dowd
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 26, 2026 | 2 | 14:51 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 17:00 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 26, 2026 | 1 | 07:09 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 18:36 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Feb 23, 2025 | 3 | 15:28 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 21, 2025 | 1 | 09:01 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 10:43 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 13, 2024 | 3 | 07:36 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 16:36 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 16:11 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 01:23 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 3 | 19:32 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 17:02 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 30, 2023 | 2 | 03:12 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 2, 2018 | 2 | 07:42 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 14, 2018 | 1 | 02:26 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Nov 19, 2016 | 2 | 06:59 | Offensive | Nic Dowd |