Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +7.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Henrique wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 55.1% vs Foligno 48.6% (+7.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 68.0%
Defensive zone
Foligno 58.7%
Neutral zone
Foligno 59.8%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Henrique
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Henrique
Foligno
Last 5: Henrique 2-3 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Foligno
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
1
2
Henrique
Foligno
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
57.5% (723)
48.7% (495)
+8.8%
Power Play
73.2% (56)
56.9% (65)
+16.3%
Penalty Kill
45.5% (231)
43.8% (144)
+1.7%
On power play, Henrique has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Henrique is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (725).
Henrique shoots left. Foligno is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (506).
Home / Away
Henrique
Foligno
Home
56.4% (518)
49.6% (359)
Away
54.9% (492)
47.2% (345)
By Period
Henrique
Foligno
P1
56.0%
46.7%
P2
55.2%
52.7%
P3
56.2%
46.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
55.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
55.6%
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2025 | 2 | 07:07 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Feb 5, 2025 | 1 | 19:17 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 3 | 07:18 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 3 | 07:30 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 12, 2024 | 1 | 10:32 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |