Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.9% vs Foligno 49.4% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 65.9%
Defensive zone
Foligno 56.7%
Neutral zone
Foligno 57.6%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Henrique
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Henrique
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Henrique
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (314)
49.3% (215)
+6.1%
Power Play
47.4% (19)
57.1% (35)
-9.7%
Penalty Kill
54.2% (96)
41.9% (43)
+12.3%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +12.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Henrique is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (277).
Henrique shoots left. Foligno is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Henrique
Foligno
Home
53.2% (173)
47.5% (158)
Away
55.9% (256)
51.1% (135)
By Period
Henrique
Foligno
P1
58.9%
42.7%
P2
54.9%
51.4%
P3
50.0%
51.9%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
54.8%
Foligno
40.0%▼
51.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |