Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Foligno shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Foligno 49.9% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Foligno 63.4%
Defensive zone
Henrique 53.2%
Neutral zone
Foligno 51.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 53.2%
53.2%
46.8%
Henrique
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Henrique
Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
0
1
Henrique
Foligno
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
49.5% (291)
+5.9%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
55.8% (43)
-5.8%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
47.2% (53)
+3.5%
On even strength, Henrique has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. Foligno is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Henrique
Foligno
Home
52.4% (227)
48.9% (178)
Away
55.2% (324)
50.7% (209)
By Period
Henrique
Foligno
P1
57.0%
43.0%
P2
52.5%
55.9%
P3
52.4%
50.0%
OT
100.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.8%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 1, 2025 | 1 | 11:48 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |