Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Henrique wins 54.2% vs left-shot opponents — Zacha shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.5% vs Zacha 51.8% (+2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zacha 64.9%
Defensive zone
Henrique 59.8%
Neutral zone
Zacha 50.8%
Result
Pavel Zacha favored at 54.3%
45.7%
54.3%
Henrique
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Henrique
Zacha
Last 5: Henrique 2-3 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
0
2
Henrique
Zacha
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Zacha
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Henrique
Zacha
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (395)
53.0% (700)
+2.4%
Power Play
50.0% (22)
54.1% (109)
-4.1%
Penalty Kill
50.7% (134)
39.2% (74)
+11.5%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Henrique is 54.2% vs left-shot opponents (371).
Henrique shoots left. Zacha is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (520).
Home / Away
Henrique
Zacha
Home
52.4% (227)
51.6% (438)
Away
55.2% (324)
52.4% (445)
By Period
Henrique
Zacha
P1
57.0%
57.0%
P2
52.5%
48.9%
P3
52.4%
50.5%
OT
100.0%
42.1%
Final 5 min
47.8%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |