Scouting Report
Adam Henrique holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Henrique on defensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 50.6% vs Zacha 49.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Henrique leads 18-16 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Zacha 50.7%
Defensive zone
Henrique 59.0%
Neutral zone
Henrique 55.2%
Result
Adam Henrique favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Henrique
Zacha
Head-to-Head Record
18
-
16
(34 meetings)
18
16
Henrique
Zacha
Last 10: Henrique 5-5 Zacha
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zacha
3
9
Henrique
Zacha
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
9
2
Henrique
Zacha
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
6
5
Henrique
Zacha
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Zacha
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (9,546)
48.9% (5,156)
+1.8%
Power Play
54.5% (1,763)
55.7% (813)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (1,832)
42.2% (557)
+4.0%
On penalty kill, Henrique has a +4.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zacha shoots left. Henrique is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (8,525).
Henrique shoots left. Zacha is 47.9% vs left-shot opponents (3,965).
Home / Away
Henrique
Zacha
Home
52.5% (6,430)
49.7% (3,381)
Away
48.8% (6,734)
48.6% (3,145)
By Period
Henrique
Zacha
P1
50.6%
49.9%
P2
51.4%
49.2%
P3
50.3%
48.2%
OT
40.6%
53.5%
Final 5 min
50.3%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
50.0%▼
52.0%
50.6%
Zacha
56.0%▲
50.0%
49.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 05:04 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 03:25 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:30 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 3 | 09:13 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Dec 19, 2024 | 1 | 08:08 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 04:13 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:25 | Offensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 19:59 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 12:09 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 3 | 01:34 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 12, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:30 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Pavel Zacha |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 07:04 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:51 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Mar 12, 2022 | 2 | 03:37 | Defensive | Pavel Zacha |