Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.3% vs 54.1%). Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Henrique 53.0% vs Aho 53.8% (-0.8%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 7-7 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 71.6%
Defensive zone
Henrique 70.5%
Neutral zone
Henrique 59.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Henrique
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
7
(14 meetings)
7
7
Henrique
Aho
Last 10: Henrique 4-6 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
1
5
Henrique
Aho
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Henrique
1
0
Henrique
Aho
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Henrique
5
2
Henrique
Aho
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Henrique
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
55.4% (725)
51.2% (785)
+4.2%
Power Play
50.6% (156)
63.8% (213)
-13.2%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (202)
57.9% (57)
-10.4%
On power play, Aho has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Henrique is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (693).
Henrique shoots left. Aho is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (649).
Home / Away
Henrique
Aho
Home
56.4% (553)
54.9% (548)
Away
50.0% (530)
53.3% (507)
By Period
Henrique
Aho
P1
51.7%
52.8%
P2
55.5%
58.9%
P3
52.5%
50.6%
OT
66.7%
60.0%
Final 5 min
55.1%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Henrique
58.0%▲
52.5%
53.3%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 14:35 | Offensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 08:04 | Defensive | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 17:47 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 14:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 09:30 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 05:39 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 03:12 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 00:25 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 16:18 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 16:15 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 16:00 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Oct 15, 2023 | 2 | 10:33 | Neutral | Adam Henrique |