Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Mittelstadt 50.5% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Mittelstadt 83.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 70.9%
Neutral zone
Mittelstadt 52.3%
Result
Casey Mittelstadt favored at 83.1%
16.9%
83.1%
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
0
1
Lowry
Mittelstadt
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
49.6% (141)
+6.1%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
54.8% (31)
+30.9%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
100.0% (1)
-61.0%
On penalty kill, Mittelstadt has a +61.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Mittelstadt is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (105).
Home / Away
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Home
54.3% (429)
58.7% (92)
Away
53.5% (385)
42.0% (81)
By Period
Lowry
Mittelstadt
P1
53.1%
47.7%
P2
55.2%
48.2%
P3
54.4%
56.7%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.1%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
50.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |