Adam Lowry vs Casey Mittelstadt
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +6.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Mittelstadt 45.6% (+6.1%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 13-8 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 55.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 94.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 86.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 82.3%
82.3%
17.7%
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Head-to-Head Record
13
-
8
(21 meetings)
13
8
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Mittelstadt
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Mittelstadt
2
3
Lowry
Mittelstadt
5 total
Defensive Zone
Even
4
4
Lowry
Mittelstadt
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
7
1
Lowry
Mittelstadt
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
45.0% (3,924)
+7.9%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
49.7% (666)
+7.5%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
37.5% (96)
+7.3%
On even strength, Lowry has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Mittelstadt shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Mittelstadt is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (2,782).
Home / Away
Lowry
Mittelstadt
Home
53.5% (5,920)
46.7% (2,317)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
44.3% (2,369)
By Period
Lowry
Mittelstadt
P1
51.6%
46.7%
P2
51.7%
46.1%
P3
51.5%
44.0%
OT
46.3%
36.6%
Final 5 min
52.8%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Mittelstadt
40.0%▼
50.0%
45.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 11, 2025 | 3 | 05:59 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Jan 11, 2025 | 1 | 19:25 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:46 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:31 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 3 | 18:50 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Nov 7, 2024 | 2 | 07:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 09:08 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 15:07 | Neutral | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:06 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 1 | 03:00 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 18:39 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 3, 2024 | 3 | 07:39 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 17, 2023 | 3 | 18:30 | Defensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 30, 2022 | OT | 00:35 | Offensive | Casey Mittelstadt |
| Mar 30, 2022 | 1 | 14:39 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 16:05 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 10, 2019 | 3 | 12:47 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |