Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Coyle shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Coyle 50.5% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Coyle 52.7%
Defensive zone
Coyle 54.6%
Neutral zone
Coyle 52.7%
Result
Charlie Coyle favored at 52.7%
47.3%
52.7%
Lowry
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lowry
Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Coyle
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
52.3% (853)
+3.4%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
44.4% (63)
+41.3%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
44.5% (191)
-5.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +41.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. Coyle is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
Lowry
Coyle
Home
54.3% (429)
49.0% (567)
Away
53.5% (385)
52.0% (540)
By Period
Lowry
Coyle
P1
53.1%
49.5%
P2
55.2%
49.4%
P3
54.4%
52.6%
OT
40.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
57.1%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
50.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |