Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 25 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Coyle 48.8% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 42-15 in 57 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 62.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 90.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 75.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 77.2%
77.2%
22.8%
Lowry
Coyle
Head-to-Head Record
42
-
15
(57 meetings)
42
15
Lowry
Coyle
Last 10: Lowry 8-2 Coyle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
12
9
Lowry
Coyle
21 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
22
3
Lowry
Coyle
25 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
3
Lowry
Coyle
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Coyle
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
49.4% (7,898)
+3.5%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
50.0% (794)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
43.5% (1,100)
+1.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Coyle shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Coyle is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (7,015).
Home / Away
Lowry
Coyle
Home
53.5% (5,920)
49.8% (4,865)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
47.9% (4,927)
By Period
Lowry
Coyle
P1
51.6%
49.5%
P2
51.7%
48.3%
P3
51.5%
48.8%
OT
46.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Coyle
50.0%▼
51.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 12:34 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2025 | 3 | 07:48 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 18:13 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 02:35 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 02:28 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2024 | 1 | 10:10 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 2 | 03:16 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2023 | 1 | 18:49 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 15:29 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 14:28 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 3 | 07:32 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 22, 2022 | 1 | 12:31 | Offensive | Charlie Coyle |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 14:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 11:57 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 18, 2022 | 3 | 09:04 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |