Adam Lowry vs Connor McDavid

All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Adam Lowry holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for McDavid on offensive-zone draws (81% H2H, 42 meetings).

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Lowry 51.6% vs McDavid 47.8% (+3.8%)
H2H factor McDavid leads 78-55 in 133 meetings
Offensive zone McDavid 84.0%
Defensive zone McDavid 50.1%
Neutral zone McDavid 63.9%
Result Connor McDavid favored at 65.9%
34.1%
65.9%
Lowry McDavid
Head-to-Head Record
55 - 78 (133 meetings)
55
78
Lowry McDavid
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 McDavid

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: McDavid
8
34
Lowry McDavid
42 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
22
20
Lowry McDavid
42 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
25
24
Lowry McDavid
49 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Lowry
McDavid
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
47.7% (8,394)
+5.2%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
52.1% (374)
+5.1%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
43.8% (281)
+1.0%
On even strength, Lowry has a +5.2% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
McDavid shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. McDavid is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,929).
Home / Away
Lowry
McDavid
Home
53.5% (5,920)
49.3% (4,582)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
46.2% (4,467)
By Period
Lowry
McDavid
P1
51.6%
46.5%
P2
51.7%
48.7%
P3
51.5%
48.3%
OT
46.3%
42.2%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.0%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%
53.5%
51.6%
McDavid
52.0%
51.5%
47.8%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Jan 8, 2026 2 02:17 Offensive Connor McDavid
Jan 8, 2026 1 17:02 Neutral Adam Lowry
Dec 29, 2025 3 09:33 Defensive Connor McDavid
Dec 29, 2025 3 06:33 Defensive Adam Lowry
Dec 29, 2025 3 00:46 Defensive Adam Lowry
Dec 29, 2025 3 00:38 Offensive Connor McDavid
Dec 29, 2025 3 00:30 Defensive Adam Lowry
Dec 29, 2025 1 15:35 Offensive Connor McDavid
Dec 29, 2025 1 10:23 Offensive Adam Lowry
Dec 29, 2025 1 00:00 Neutral Connor McDavid
Dec 6, 2025 3 04:12 Neutral Adam Lowry
Mar 20, 2025 2 15:12 Defensive Connor McDavid
Mar 20, 2025 2 05:30 Neutral Adam Lowry
Mar 20, 2025 1 01:58 Offensive Connor McDavid
Oct 9, 2024 2 18:23 Offensive Connor McDavid
Oct 9, 2024 2 10:00 Neutral Connor McDavid
Oct 9, 2024 2 07:56 Defensive Adam Lowry
Oct 9, 2024 1 14:56 Neutral Connor McDavid
Mar 26, 2024 3 14:56 Defensive Adam Lowry
Mar 26, 2024 3 13:05 Defensive Adam Lowry