Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Larkin 52.2% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Larkin 63.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 75.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 59.5%
Result
Dylan Larkin favored at 50.5%
49.5%
50.5%
Lowry
Larkin
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
5
(13 meetings)
8
5
Lowry
Larkin
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Larkin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Larkin
2
5
Lowry
Larkin
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Larkin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Larkin
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Larkin
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
51.1% (915)
+4.6%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
59.4% (261)
+26.3%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
48.2% (168)
-9.2%
On power play, Lowry has a +26.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Larkin shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Larkin is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Lowry
Larkin
Home
54.3% (429)
51.7% (686)
Away
53.5% (385)
53.0% (658)
By Period
Lowry
Larkin
P1
53.1%
52.5%
P2
55.2%
52.7%
P3
54.4%
51.4%
OT
40.0%
61.3%
Final 5 min
57.1%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Larkin
48.0%▼
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 10:53 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 05:02 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 14:30 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 07:55 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 07:40 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 14:10 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:11 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 04:05 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 1 | 00:48 | Offensive | Dylan Larkin |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 12:20 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |