Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Vilardi shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Vilardi 46.4% (+11.2%)
Offensive zone
Vilardi 77.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 86.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 53.1%
53.1%
46.9%
Lowry
Vilardi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Vilardi
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
41.4% (70)
+14.3%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
48.0% (25)
+37.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
0.0% (1)
+39.0%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +39.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Vilardi shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. Vilardi is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (69).
Home / Away
Lowry
Vilardi
Home
54.3% (429)
40.0% (50)
Away
53.5% (385)
45.7% (46)
By Period
Lowry
Vilardi
P1
53.1%
48.6%
P2
55.2%
37.1%
P3
54.4%
41.7%
Final 5 min
57.1%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Vilardi
38.0%▼
43.5%
42.7%