Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 49.1% vs Lapierre 40.8% (+11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 64.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 95.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 87.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 81.3%
81.3%
18.7%
Lowry
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lowry
Lapierre
Last 7: Lowry 5-2 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Lapierre
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Lapierre
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Lapierre
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
49.3% (1,064)
38.2% (275)
+11.1%
Power Play
67.7% (65)
0.0% (5)
+67.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +67.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots left. Lowry is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (968).
Lowry shoots left. Lapierre is 36.6% vs left-shot opponents (191).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lapierre
Home
50.2% (671)
37.3% (153)
Away
47.8% (709)
37.8% (127)
By Period
Lowry
Lapierre
P1
48.4%
46.1%
P2
50.1%
38.1%
P3
47.8%
25.9%
Final 5 min
43.8%
30.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
49.0%
Lapierre
34.0%▼
40.5%
37.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |