Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +12.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Lapierre 40.3% (+12.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 60.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 94.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 90.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 79.1%
79.1%
20.9%
Lowry
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lowry
Lapierre
Last 7: Lowry 5-2 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Lapierre
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Lapierre
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Lapierre
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
39.1% (660)
+13.8%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
28.6% (14)
+28.6%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
0.0% (1)
+44.8%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +44.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Lapierre is 37.1% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lapierre
Home
53.5% (5,920)
39.1% (366)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
38.5% (309)
By Period
Lowry
Lapierre
P1
51.6%
47.2%
P2
51.7%
38.7%
P3
51.5%
29.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
33.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Lapierre
50.0%▲
41.0%
38.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |