Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.5% vs Lapierre 39.7% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 70.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 96.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 93.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 84.6%
84.6%
15.4%
Lowry
Lapierre
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Lowry
Lapierre
Last 7: Lowry 5-2 Lapierre
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Lapierre
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Lapierre
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Lapierre
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Lapierre
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (8,914)
38.5% (600)
+14.3%
Power Play
57.0% (453)
18.2% (11)
+38.8%
Penalty Kill
45.0% (2,120)
0.0% (1)
+45.0%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +45.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lapierre shoots left. Lowry is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (7,585).
Lowry shoots left. Lapierre is 36.4% vs left-shot opponents (423).
Home / Away
Lowry
Lapierre
Home
53.4% (5,759)
38.6% (334)
Away
49.6% (5,728)
37.4% (278)
By Period
Lowry
Lapierre
P1
51.5%
46.5%
P2
51.7%
38.0%
P3
51.3%
28.3%
Final 5 min
52.7%
34.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
51.5%
Lapierre
34.0%▼
40.5%
38.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 16:39 | Defensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 2 | 13:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 17:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 24, 2024 | 1 | 09:16 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 3 | 19:41 | Offensive | Hendrix Lapierre |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 15:52 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 11, 2024 | 2 | 12:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |