Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +17.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Hughes 39.5% (+17.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 62.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 94.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 82.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 88.7%
88.7%
11.3%
Lowry
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
Lowry
Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Hughes
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Hughes
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
36.7% (305)
+19.0%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
14.3% (7)
+71.4%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
33.3% (6)
+5.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +71.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Hughes is 33.0% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hughes
Home
54.3% (429)
35.8% (159)
Away
53.5% (385)
36.5% (159)
By Period
Lowry
Hughes
P1
53.1%
42.3%
P2
55.2%
28.2%
P3
54.4%
37.2%
Final 5 min
57.1%
27.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 09:07 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |