Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +15.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Hughes 36.5% (+15.5%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 68.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 98.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 96.0%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 90.6%
90.6%
9.4%
Lowry
Hughes
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Lowry
Hughes
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Hughes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hughes
1
2
Lowry
Hughes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Hughes
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
2
Lowry
Hughes
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Hughes
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
36.0% (2,926)
+16.9%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
38.8% (224)
+18.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
31.0% (42)
+13.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +18.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hughes shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Hughes is 34.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,948).
Home / Away
Lowry
Hughes
Home
53.5% (5,920)
36.8% (1,681)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
35.3% (1,511)
By Period
Lowry
Hughes
P1
51.6%
36.9%
P2
51.7%
33.4%
P3
51.5%
38.2%
OT
46.3%
37.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
34.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Hughes
38.0%▬
37.0%
36.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | 2 | 05:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 27, 2026 | 1 | 09:07 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 10:19 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 1 | 07:56 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 17:24 | Neutral | Jack Hughes |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 2 | 10:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 15:26 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 03:52 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 14:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 13:09 | Offensive | Jack Hughes |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 08:14 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 2 | 12:34 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 4, 2019 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |