Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.6% vs 52.2%). Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Evans 52.2% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 56.2%
Defensive zone
Evans 53.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 50.6%
50.6%
49.4%
Lowry
Evans
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
9
(19 meetings)
10
9
Lowry
Evans
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Evans
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Evans
1
2
Lowry
Evans
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Evans
2
6
Lowry
Evans
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
7
1
Lowry
Evans
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Evans
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
53.7% (3,740)
-0.8%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
60.6% (71)
-3.4%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
47.1% (1,228)
-2.3%
On power play, Evans has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Evans shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Evans is 52.1% vs left-shot opponents (3,738).
Home / Away
Lowry
Evans
Home
53.5% (5,920)
53.3% (2,621)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
51.0% (2,418)
By Period
Lowry
Evans
P1
51.6%
54.0%
P2
51.7%
50.9%
P3
51.5%
52.0%
OT
46.3%
46.5%
Final 5 min
52.8%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Evans
50.0%▼
57.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 3 | 10:14 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 11:53 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 07:11 | Offensive | Jake Evans |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 1 | 07:38 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2023 | OT | 04:08 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 28, 2023 | 3 | 10:14 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 3 | 19:51 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 2 | 11:15 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 2 | 04:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 11, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jake Evans |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 16:41 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 18:28 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 2 | 18:35 | Defensive | Jake Evans |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 8, 2021 | 3 | 19:22 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 15, 2021 | 3 | 19:12 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |