Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Veleno 50.9% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Veleno 66.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 60.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 53.5%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Lowry
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Lowry
Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Veleno
0
1
Lowry
Veleno
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lowry
Veleno
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
52.5% (278)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
37.9% (29)
+1.1%
On even strength, Lowry has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Veleno is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (187).
Home / Away
Lowry
Veleno
Home
54.3% (429)
49.6% (123)
Away
53.5% (385)
52.2% (184)
By Period
Lowry
Veleno
P1
53.1%
54.1%
P2
55.2%
48.8%
P3
54.4%
52.6%
OT
40.0%
25.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
60.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 3, 2025 | OT | 04:56 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |