Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Veleno 47.2% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 16-11 in 27 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 60.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 87.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 79.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 80.4%
80.4%
19.6%
Lowry
Veleno
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
11
(27 meetings)
16
11
Lowry
Veleno
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Veleno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Veleno
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
7
3
Lowry
Veleno
10 total
Neutral Zone
Even
7
7
Lowry
Veleno
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Veleno
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
47.3% (2,317)
+5.6%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
51.0% (98)
+6.2%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
36.4% (88)
+8.4%
On penalty kill, Lowry has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Veleno shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Veleno is 46.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,623).
Home / Away
Lowry
Veleno
Home
53.5% (5,920)
45.3% (1,136)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
48.6% (1,367)
By Period
Lowry
Veleno
P1
51.6%
47.9%
P2
51.7%
47.7%
P3
51.5%
45.9%
OT
46.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Veleno
52.0%▬
51.5%
47.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2026 | 2 | 11:41 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 3, 2025 | OT | 04:56 | Offensive | Joe Veleno |
| Dec 3, 2025 | 2 | 04:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 19:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 15:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 3 | 01:33 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 30, 2024 | 2 | 04:24 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 20, 2023 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 09:53 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 2 | 05:47 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 17:30 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:08 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 26, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 3 | 18:40 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 03:11 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 10, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 6, 2022 | 1 | 09:52 | Defensive | Joe Veleno |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 08:58 | Neutral | Joe Veleno |