Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Staal 54.6% (-1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 65.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 64.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 52.9%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Lowry
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lowry
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Staal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Lowry
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
56.2% (989)
-0.5%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
66.0% (159)
+19.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
42.7% (253)
-3.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Staal is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (970).
Home / Away
Lowry
Staal
Home
54.3% (429)
55.4% (699)
Away
53.5% (385)
54.4% (702)
By Period
Lowry
Staal
P1
53.1%
55.7%
P2
55.2%
54.7%
P3
54.4%
53.4%
OT
40.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Staal
52.0%▬
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 12:56 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |