Scouting Report
Josh Norris holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Norris 53.4% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 64.5%
Defensive zone
Lowry 68.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 56.8%
Result
Josh Norris favored at 64.5%
35.5%
64.5%
Lowry
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
53.7% (933)
53.6% (560)
+0.1%
Power Play
60.7% (28)
56.0% (109)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
42.7% (227)
53.1% (98)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Norris has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Lowry is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (840).
Lowry shoots left. Norris is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Lowry
Norris
Home
53.0% (583)
53.6% (373)
Away
50.6% (605)
54.1% (394)
By Period
Lowry
Norris
P1
52.1%
61.8%
P2
51.8%
51.7%
P3
52.3%
49.8%
OT
25.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
53.9%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
51.8%
Norris
48.0%▬
48.5%
53.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 28, 2024 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |