Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Norris 49.9% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Norris 51.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 87.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 77.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 71.1%
71.1%
28.9%
Lowry
Norris
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Lowry
Norris
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Norris
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Norris
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Norris
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Norris
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
50.5% (388)
+5.2%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
47.6% (84)
+38.1%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
42.9% (7)
-3.9%
On power play, Lowry has a +38.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Norris shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Norris is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (321).
Home / Away
Lowry
Norris
Home
54.3% (429)
48.1% (233)
Away
53.5% (385)
51.6% (246)
By Period
Lowry
Norris
P1
53.1%
53.1%
P2
55.2%
49.2%
P3
54.4%
48.4%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Norris
54.0%▲
51.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 18:42 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 14:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2025 | 2 | 03:25 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |