Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +8.3% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 57.7% vs right-shot opponents — Necas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 52.7% vs Necas 47.6% (+8.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 75.9%
Defensive zone
Lowry 88.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 53.0%
Result
Martin Necas favored at 61.4%
38.6%
61.4%
Lowry
Necas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lowry
Necas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
0
1
Lowry
Necas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Necas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Necas
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (796)
43.9% (57)
+11.9%
Power Play
54.7% (53)
31.3% (16)
+23.4%
Penalty Kill
42.3% (215)
66.7% (12)
-24.4%
On penalty kill, Necas has a +24.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Necas shoots right. Lowry is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (392).
Lowry shoots left. Necas is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Lowry
Necas
Home
53.4% (515)
44.9% (49)
Away
52.6% (549)
44.4% (36)
By Period
Lowry
Necas
P1
54.2%
40.5%
P2
54.4%
45.5%
P3
50.8%
52.6%
OT
37.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
54.2%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
53.0%
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |