Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +10.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Necas on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Necas 41.9% (+10.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Necas 74.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 86.5%
Neutral zone
Lowry 55.1%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 56.0%
56.0%
44.0%
Lowry
Necas
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Lowry
Necas
Last 8: Lowry 4-4 Necas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Necas
0
3
Lowry
Necas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Necas
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Necas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Necas
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
40.7% (797)
+12.2%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
40.0% (135)
+17.2%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
54.1% (37)
-9.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +17.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Necas shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Necas is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (743).
Home / Away
Lowry
Necas
Home
53.5% (5,920)
39.2% (492)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
43.0% (477)
By Period
Lowry
Necas
P1
51.6%
39.9%
P2
51.7%
40.6%
P3
51.5%
43.3%
OT
46.3%
41.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Necas
36.0%▼
38.0%
41.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2023 | 3 | 14:10 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 16:59 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 14, 2023 | 2 | 13:10 | Defensive | Martin Necas |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 11:08 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 19:25 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Apr 21, 2022 | 1 | 06:26 | Offensive | Martin Necas |
| Dec 7, 2021 | 2 | 02:18 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |