Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Duchene 51.8% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 72.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 81.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 63.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Lowry
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
51.1% (366)
+4.6%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
61.5% (65)
+24.2%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
16.7% (6)
+22.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +24.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Duchene is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Home / Away
Lowry
Duchene
Home
54.3% (429)
51.7% (201)
Away
53.5% (385)
52.5% (236)
By Period
Lowry
Duchene
P1
53.1%
49.0%
P2
55.2%
57.1%
P3
54.4%
49.2%
OT
40.0%
60.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
51.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Duchene
56.0%▲
51.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 2 | 01:16 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |