Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — McCarron shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs McCarron 52.1% (+1.6%)
Offensive zone
Lowry 62.3%
Defensive zone
McCarron 63.4%
Neutral zone
McCarron 50.6%
Result
Michael McCarron favored at 50.6%
49.4%
50.6%
Lowry
McCarron
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
McCarron
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
52.8% (697)
+2.9%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
18.2% (11)
+67.5%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
52.6% (211)
-13.6%
On power play, Lowry has a +67.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCarron shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. McCarron is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (645).
Home / Away
Lowry
McCarron
Home
54.3% (429)
52.8% (477)
Away
53.5% (385)
51.8% (442)
By Period
Lowry
McCarron
P1
53.1%
56.2%
P2
55.2%
52.4%
P3
54.4%
48.7%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
57.1%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
McCarron
38.0%▼
49.0%
52.3%