Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Rantanen 49.2% (+1.4%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 10-5 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Rantanen 86.0%
Defensive zone
Lowry 95.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 73.3%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 65.3%
65.3%
34.7%
Lowry
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
5
(15 meetings)
10
5
Lowry
Rantanen
Last 10: Lowry 7-3 Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
5
Lowry
Rantanen
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
0
Lowry
Rantanen
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Rantanen
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
50.9% (334)
+1.8%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
43.7% (119)
+9.1%
On power play, Lowry has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Lowry is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (750).
Lowry shoots left. Rantanen is 51.9% vs left-shot opponents (270).
Home / Away
Lowry
Rantanen
Home
52.4% (597)
49.4% (241)
Away
48.4% (583)
48.6% (212)
By Period
Lowry
Rantanen
P1
48.5%
47.1%
P2
52.2%
46.7%
P3
50.5%
51.9%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
48.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
68.0%▲
55.5%
50.4%
Rantanen
50.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 3 | 03:57 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 2 | 19:41 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 13:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 02:10 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 01:58 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 06:33 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 14:13 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 19, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 3 | 11:48 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 2 | 17:50 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 2 | 11:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |