Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Rantanen 49.7% (+4.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rantanen 83.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 77.9%
Neutral zone
Rantanen 52.6%
Result
Mikko Rantanen favored at 83.2%
16.8%
83.2%
Lowry
Rantanen
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Lowry
Rantanen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Rantanen
0
1
Lowry
Rantanen
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Rantanen
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
48.9% (47)
+6.8%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
50.0% (22)
+35.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Rantanen shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Rantanen is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (29).
Home / Away
Lowry
Rantanen
Home
54.3% (429)
48.4% (31)
Away
53.5% (385)
50.0% (38)
By Period
Lowry
Rantanen
P1
53.1%
50.0%
P2
55.2%
30.0%
P3
54.4%
72.2%
OT
40.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
57.1%
38.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Rantanen
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 9, 2025 | 1 | 19:32 | Offensive | Mikko Rantanen |