Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Frost 50.6% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 16-10 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Frost 79.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 86.0%
Neutral zone
Lowry 57.2%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Lowry
Frost
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
10
(26 meetings)
16
10
Lowry
Frost
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Frost
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Lowry
Frost
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
3
Lowry
Frost
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
7
4
Lowry
Frost
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Frost
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
49.7% (3,652)
+3.2%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
55.4% (632)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
55.0% (40)
-10.2%
On penalty kill, Frost has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Frost shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Frost is 51.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,843).
Home / Away
Lowry
Frost
Home
53.5% (5,920)
51.4% (2,101)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
49.8% (2,223)
By Period
Lowry
Frost
P1
51.6%
51.2%
P2
51.7%
51.3%
P3
51.5%
48.8%
OT
46.3%
64.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Frost
68.0%▲
63.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 13:29 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 10:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 3 | 01:37 | Defensive | Morgan Frost |
| Feb 8, 2024 | 1 | 06:27 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 08:55 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 2 | 08:45 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 13, 2024 | 1 | 12:42 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 3 | 03:11 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 2 | 13:51 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 28, 2023 | 1 | 05:16 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 3 | 15:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 2 | 08:34 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 12:57 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 22, 2023 | 1 | 06:14 | Neutral | Morgan Frost |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 3 | 16:31 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 27, 2022 | 1 | 05:23 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 14:48 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 1, 2022 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Morgan Frost |