Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Kadri 46.9% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 6-5 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 67.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 86.8%
Neutral zone
Lowry 66.9%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 63.1%
63.1%
36.9%
Lowry
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
5
(11 meetings)
6
5
Lowry
Kadri
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
1
2
Lowry
Kadri
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
1
Lowry
Kadri
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
3
2
Lowry
Kadri
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
46.5% (866)
+9.2%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
48.8% (86)
+36.9%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
38.5% (13)
+0.5%
On power play, Lowry has a +36.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Lowry is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (561).
Lowry shoots left. Kadri is 43.2% vs left-shot opponents (618).
Home / Away
Lowry
Kadri
Home
54.3% (429)
45.8% (513)
Away
53.5% (385)
47.6% (452)
By Period
Lowry
Kadri
P1
53.1%
52.4%
P2
55.2%
48.5%
P3
54.4%
39.7%
OT
40.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
57.1%
46.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 12:25 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 03:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:19 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |