Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kadri on offensive-zone draws (72% H2H, 39 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Kadri 48.6% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Kadri leads 54-54 in 108 meetings
Offensive zone
Kadri 74.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 75.0%
Neutral zone
Kadri 53.6%
Result
Nazem Kadri favored at 52.9%
47.1%
52.9%
Lowry
Kadri
Head-to-Head Record
54
-
54
(108 meetings)
54
54
Lowry
Kadri
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Kadri
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kadri
11
28
Lowry
Kadri
39 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
24
7
Lowry
Kadri
31 total
Neutral Zone
Even
19
19
Lowry
Kadri
38 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Kadri
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
48.1% (12,555)
+4.8%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
53.0% (1,892)
+4.2%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
41.0% (293)
+3.8%
On even strength, Lowry has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kadri shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Kadri is 46.8% vs left-shot opponents (9,402).
Home / Away
Lowry
Kadri
Home
53.5% (5,920)
49.1% (7,493)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
48.1% (7,250)
By Period
Lowry
Kadri
P1
51.6%
49.1%
P2
51.7%
48.7%
P3
51.5%
47.9%
OT
46.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Kadri
32.0%▼
35.5%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 14:03 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 12:25 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2025 | OT | 03:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:35 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 07:19 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 04:11 | Defensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 03:57 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 01:50 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 15, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 18:55 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 15:03 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 06:23 | Offensive | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 02:15 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:38 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 01:46 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |
| Jan 18, 2025 | 1 | 19:57 | Neutral | Nazem Kadri |