Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Bjugstad shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Bjugstad 49.5% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 54.2%
Defensive zone
Lowry 53.6%
Neutral zone
Bjugstad 50.6%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.3%
49.7%
50.3%
Lowry
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Lowry
Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
0
1
Lowry
Bjugstad
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Bjugstad
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
49.7% (292)
+6.0%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
50.0% (6)
+35.7%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
47.2% (36)
-8.2%
On power play, Lowry has a +35.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. Bjugstad is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bjugstad
Home
54.3% (429)
48.7% (193)
Away
53.5% (385)
50.4% (141)
By Period
Lowry
Bjugstad
P1
53.1%
41.5%
P2
55.2%
57.3%
P3
54.4%
50.0%
OT
40.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
57.1%
51.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |