Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Bjugstad on offensive-zone draws (82% H2H, 17 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Bjugstad 49.0% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Bjugstad leads 24-21 in 45 meetings
Offensive zone
Bjugstad 70.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 66.3%
Neutral zone
Lowry 50.1%
Result
Nick Bjugstad favored at 50.9%
49.1%
50.9%
Lowry
Bjugstad
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
24
(45 meetings)
21
24
Lowry
Bjugstad
Last 10: Lowry 5-5 Bjugstad
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bjugstad
3
14
Lowry
Bjugstad
17 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
13
6
Lowry
Bjugstad
19 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
4
Lowry
Bjugstad
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Bjugstad
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
48.6% (6,646)
+4.3%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
55.2% (829)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
44.3% (614)
+0.5%
On even strength, Lowry has a +4.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bjugstad shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Bjugstad is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,753).
Home / Away
Lowry
Bjugstad
Home
53.5% (5,920)
49.8% (4,023)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
48.1% (4,066)
By Period
Lowry
Bjugstad
P1
51.6%
48.9%
P2
51.7%
49.1%
P3
51.5%
48.5%
OT
46.3%
61.3%
Final 5 min
52.8%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Bjugstad
42.0%▼
48.0%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 3 | 13:07 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 19:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 08:16 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 3 | 14:06 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 13:43 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 1 | 13:11 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 18:42 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:30 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 13:25 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 09:08 | Defensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 2 | 09:19 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 08:26 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 2 | 06:53 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 4, 2023 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:12 | Offensive | Nick Bjugstad |
| Mar 4, 2023 | 3 | 15:04 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |