Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Foligno on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Foligno 48.6% (+3.0%)
H2H factor
Foligno leads 14-12 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Foligno 78.8%
Defensive zone
Lowry 76.9%
Neutral zone
Foligno 51.2%
Result
Nick Foligno favored at 56.4%
43.6%
56.4%
Lowry
Foligno
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
14
(26 meetings)
12
14
Lowry
Foligno
Last 10: Lowry 3-7 Foligno
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Foligno
4
9
Lowry
Foligno
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
2
Lowry
Foligno
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Foligno
2
3
Lowry
Foligno
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Foligno
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
48.3% (2,840)
+4.6%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
52.3% (731)
+4.9%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
44.0% (457)
+0.8%
On power play, Lowry has a +4.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Foligno shoots left. Lowry is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (7,758).
Lowry shoots left. Foligno is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (2,512).
Home / Away
Lowry
Foligno
Home
53.5% (5,920)
49.9% (2,013)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
47.2% (2,017)
By Period
Lowry
Foligno
P1
51.6%
47.8%
P2
51.7%
50.5%
P3
51.5%
48.2%
OT
46.3%
29.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Foligno
54.0%▲
50.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 18:48 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 3 | 17:01 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 17:51 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 2 | 14:38 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Jan 19, 2026 | 1 | 11:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 16:12 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 09:05 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 3 | 08:48 | Neutral | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 10:16 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 2 | 04:23 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 14:57 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 11, 2024 | 1 | 02:58 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 23, 2024 | 3 | 13:03 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 3 | 07:25 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 27, 2023 | 2 | 18:54 | Defensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 12:00 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 08:05 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 16:29 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 1 | 12:40 | Offensive | Nick Foligno |