Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +9.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (78% H2H, 23 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Schmaltz 42.6% (+9.2%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 30-14 in 44 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 80.1%
Defensive zone
Lowry 99.1%
Neutral zone
Lowry 96.8%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 94.6%
94.6%
5.4%
Lowry
Schmaltz
Head-to-Head Record
30
-
14
(44 meetings)
30
14
Lowry
Schmaltz
Last 10: Lowry 6-4 Schmaltz
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Schmaltz
3
6
Lowry
Schmaltz
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
18
5
Lowry
Schmaltz
23 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
9
3
Lowry
Schmaltz
12 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Schmaltz
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
41.3% (3,431)
+11.6%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
47.3% (655)
+9.9%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
47.4% (135)
-2.6%
On even strength, Lowry has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Schmaltz shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Schmaltz is 41.2% vs left-shot opponents (3,049).
Home / Away
Lowry
Schmaltz
Home
53.5% (5,920)
42.8% (2,114)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
42.0% (2,107)
By Period
Lowry
Schmaltz
P1
51.6%
41.3%
P2
51.7%
42.8%
P3
51.5%
43.1%
OT
46.3%
42.4%
Final 5 min
52.8%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Schmaltz
42.0%▼
46.0%
42.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 10:53 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 3 | 07:46 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 21, 2025 | 2 | 17:05 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 3 | 19:15 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 10:53 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 5, 2025 | 1 | 14:16 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Jan 20, 2025 | 1 | 03:36 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 18:51 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 5, 2024 | 2 | 18:40 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 3 | 15:37 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 19:45 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 19:37 | Defensive | Nick Schmaltz |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 2 | 17:12 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 18:03 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Feb 25, 2024 | 1 | 09:26 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 02:07 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 7, 2024 | 3 | 01:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 18, 2023 | 2 | 16:37 | Offensive | Nick Schmaltz |