Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Lowry wins 60.9% vs right-shot opponents — Roy shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 53.5% vs Roy 51.9% (+1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lowry 55.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 51.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 59.6%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Lowry
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Lowry
Roy
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
1
0
Lowry
Roy
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (707)
51.9% (547)
+3.8%
Power Play
85.7% (7)
54.1% (37)
+31.6%
Penalty Kill
39.0% (100)
53.3% (92)
-14.3%
On power play, Lowry has a +31.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Lowry is 60.9% vs right-shot opponents (253).
Lowry shoots left. Roy is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Lowry
Roy
Home
54.3% (429)
54.0% (328)
Away
53.5% (385)
50.6% (348)
By Period
Lowry
Roy
P1
53.1%
53.5%
P2
55.2%
51.6%
P3
54.4%
51.6%
Final 5 min
57.1%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
53.9%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |