Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +3.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 51.6% vs Roy 48.4% (+3.2%)
H2H factor
Lowry leads 15-11 in 26 meetings
Offensive zone
Lowry 59.7%
Defensive zone
Lowry 80.4%
Neutral zone
Lowry 71.7%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 72.0%
72.0%
28.0%
Lowry
Roy
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
11
(26 meetings)
15
11
Lowry
Roy
Last 10: Lowry 4-6 Roy
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roy
1
5
Lowry
Roy
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
6
3
Lowry
Roy
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
8
3
Lowry
Roy
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Roy
Edge
Even Strength
52.9% (9,162)
48.7% (3,719)
+4.2%
Power Play
57.2% (456)
49.5% (283)
+7.7%
Penalty Kill
44.8% (2,150)
45.5% (477)
-0.7%
On power play, Lowry has a +7.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roy shoots right. Lowry is 52.2% vs right-shot opponents (4,010).
Lowry shoots left. Roy is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (3,288).
Home / Away
Lowry
Roy
Home
53.5% (5,920)
49.5% (2,221)
Away
49.6% (5,848)
47.3% (2,258)
By Period
Lowry
Roy
P1
51.6%
50.8%
P2
51.7%
46.3%
P3
51.5%
48.1%
OT
46.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
52.8%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
52.0%▼
53.5%
51.6%
Roy
46.0%▼
49.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Apr 3, 2025 | 3 | 04:49 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 12, 2024 | 3 | 19:29 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 08:55 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 04:43 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:32 | Neutral | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:45 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 3 | 05:06 | Defensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 19, 2023 | 2 | 13:09 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 3 | 00:41 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 16:13 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 19:45 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 1 | 05:18 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 12:38 | Offensive | Nicolas Roy |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 30, 2022 | 2 | 01:56 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 05:07 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |